Saturday, March 6, 2010

VD's Final Oscar Winners Predictions

This is the third year I've made one of these header collages, and I wonder if any of you have actually noticed them, lol? They suck up a lot of time to make, yo.

It's fucking here, folks! Thankfully, there's no real Slumdog (or, rather, something frustratingly dominating) this year to turn us into masochists. Though, one could argue Bullock and her film's representation of the public's addiction to toxic bilge (or Avatar as a behemoth in general) have proven to be, and I'd agree less than I would've thought. IT'S BEEN A ROLLERCOASTER FOR SURE, which is a nice change of pace. But frankly, I'd say Crazy Heart is the most annoying thing this year for me. How people think aspects besides Bridges and the music (HELLO, MAGGIE) are worthy or accolades, and for the film itself, is COMPLETELY BEYOND ME. That Fox Searchlight pulled the same "saved from direct-to-DVD" bullshit with it infuriates me even more this time around - at least Slumdog acts like a theatrical film and isn't a long series of lazy, tiring cliches.

ANYWAY. I've never done the short categories and probably won't for...ever (but go W&G!), so here are Valley Dreamin''s* Final Predictions for the winners of the 82nd Academy Awards in the other 21.

* - This is an entirely unfortunate contraction.

Updated with Winners
17/21 - 81% correct

Best Picture
Will Win: The Hurt Locker
Could Win: Avatar
Should Win: Inglourious Basterds

I couldn't say anything that hasn't already been said. Que sera, sera.

Best Director
Will Win: Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Could Win: James Cameron, Avatar
Should Win: Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

This, though, is happening absolutely.

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Will Win: Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
Could Win: George Clooney, Up in the Air
Should Win: Colin Firth, A Single Man

As is this.

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Will Win: Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Could Win: Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Should Win: Gabourey Sidibe, Precious

...and probably this. *sighs*

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Will Win: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Could Win: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Should Win: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

This has been a lock since June.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Will Win: Mo'Nique, Precious
Could Win: Mo'Nique, Precious
Should Win: Mo'Nique, Precious

April.

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Could Win: Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Should Win: Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

This...isn't so certain. It really seems like a consolation prize for Tarantino, doesn't it? And Boal would kind of just continue the line of pet projects from young and ambitious writers winning. But I do hope Quentin pulls this out in the end.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Jason Reitman + Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
Could Win: Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious
Should Win: Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci + Tony Roche, In the Loop

This is a consolation prize for sure, anyway.

Best Animated Feature Film
Will Win: Up
Could Win: Fantastic Mr. Fox
Should Win: Fantastic Mr. Fox
Should've Been Fucking Nominated in the First Place: Ponyo

No doubt, really.

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: A Prophet
Could Win: The White Ribbon
Should Win: n/a (I've only seen The White Ribbon, which is amaaaze)
Actually Won: The Secret in Their Eyes

LOL, well, whoever wins, SPC wins. Even if it's The Secret in Their Eyes, because they have that, too. Though for whatever reason I could see Ajami pulling a sneak.

Btw, I LOVE THE U.S. POSTER FOR A PROPHET SO MUCH AND I DON'T REALLY KNOW WHY! It's just soooooo good. God, I want to see it.

Best Documentary Feature Film
Will Win: The Cove
Could Win: Burma VJ
Should Win: n/a

Lock.

Best Art Direction
Will Win: Avatar
Could Win: Sherlock Holmes
Should Win: The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus

Lock.

Best Cinematography
Will Win: Barry Ackroyd, The Hurt Locker
Could Win: Mauro Fiore, Avatar
Should Win: Robert Richardson, Inglourious Basterds

Anyone but HP6 could win, apparently; The White Ribbon has the guild, Avatar has the *PRETTY*/groundbreaking aspect, Basterds has the most respected DP of the line-up (probably). But Ackroyd seems like someone who'll win an Oscar eventually, so why not for a potential juggernaut?

Best Costume Design
Will Win: Sandy Powell, The Young Victoria
Could Win: ???
Should Win: Janet Patterson, Bright Star

Sandy Powell = God. 3rd Oscah.

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Chris Innis + Bob Murawski, The Hurt Locker
Could Win: John Refoua + Stephen E. Rivkin, Avatar
Should Win: Sally Menke, Inglourious Basterds

If THL loses this Avatar WILL win BP.

Best Original Score
Will Win: Michael Giacchino, Up
Could Win: James Horner, Avatar
Should Win: Michael Giacchino, Up

Lock.

Best Original Song
Will Win: "The Weary Kind," Crazy Heart
Could Win: "Take It All," Nine
Should Win: "Take It All," Nine

First Globe winner to even be nominated in six years, and, if it won, would be one of three this decade which actually won. But, I don't see anything else winning. Blah.

Best Make-Up
Will Win: Star Trek
Could Win: The Young Victoria
Should Win: Star Trek

...I really don't know. Nothing seems obvious?

Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: The Hurt Locker
Could Win: Avatar
Should Win: The Hurt Locker

Avatar could easily win this, but the guild and BAFTA went with THL, so.

Best Sound Editing
Will Win: Avatar
Could Win: The Hurt Locker
Should Win: Inglourious Basterds

Duh.

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Avatar
Could Win: Avatar
Should Win: Avatar

DUH.

Thoughts? Comments? Criticisms? Your own predix?
(I need comments to sustain my blogging, you know.)
(Yes, I'm threatening. Mwaha, etc.)

3 comments:

the misomaniac said...

Agreed on most counts. I wish Inglourious Basterds would get a bit more love, but as long as Avatar doesn't win anything beyond technical awards, I guess I'm satisfied. It should be a good one...

PS Congrats on the boyfriend you have acquired, JD. Was that creepy? Oh well.

J.D. said...

Agreed!

And LOL, nah. And we've been going out (kinda) for like, a year, so.

anahita said...

the oscars couldn't be more blah this year. I was so hyped for them last year, but a single man (the love of my 2009 life) was barely nominated, and an education was looked over. so meh.