LIKE IT OR NOT, we're here once again. There's still about 24 hours till showtime, and I couldn't put this off wait any longer. These aren't really going to change or anything; my thoughts are pretty cemented. I think it's a pretty good year overall, and I somehow managed to love the vast majority of the BP nominees, which impresses me. Shut up.
As is customary, I don't even try to do the short categories, so here are my predictions for the other twenty-one categories! YAAAAAAAAAAAAY.
Updated with Winners 14/21 - 66% correct (I haven't done this badly since 2007's 12/21 score.)
Best Picture Will Win: The King's Speech Could Win: The Social Network Should Win: Black Swan
It would be a rather beautiful miracle if TSN grabbed it back, but of course that's not gonna happen so, everyone, just live with it.
Best Director Will Win: David Fincher, The Social Network Could Win: Tom Hooper, The King's Speech Should Win: Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
The British biggies are always weaker with this, so Fincher really SHOULD PROBABLY WIN IT.
Best Actor in a Leading Role Will Win: Colin Firth, The King's Speech Could Win: Colin Firth, The King's Speech Should Win: James Franco, 127 Hours
Best Actress in a Leading Role Will Win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan Could Win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan Should Win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Best Actor in a Supporting Role Will Win: Christian Bale, The Fighter Could Win: Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech Should Win: Christian Bale, The Fighter
To be honest I don't see Rush winning even if TKS won LITERALLY everything else. Bale is just too goddamn strong.
Best Actress in a Supporting Role Will Win: Melissa Leo, The Fighter Could Win: Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech Should Win: Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
If Steinfeld wins this, I will fuck a girl, I swear to god. NOT HAPPENING.
Best Original Screenplay Will Win: David Seidler, The King's Speech Could Win: Christopher Nolan, Inception Should Win: Christopher Nolan, Inception
British BPs, even if they lose Director, nearly always win for their writing. AMPAS don't care 'bout Chris Nolan anyway.
Best Adapted Screenplay Will Win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network Could Win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network Should Win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Sorkin losing this would be the single most scandalous snub in QUITE a while, considering he's won everything and undeniably deserves it.
Best Animated Feature Film Will Win: Toy Story 3 Could Win: Toy Story 3 Should Win: Toy Story 3
Best Foreign Language Film Will Win: In a Better World Could Win: Incendies Should Win: n/a
Outside the Law seems like it COULD be the Departures/Secrets of the year, but without a heavily known frontrunner or two for it to beat (Biutiful doesn't count - though it does tonally), I'm not sure treating it like that would work. Not a great theoretical year.
Best Documentary Feature Film Will Win: Inside Job Could Win: Exit Through the Gift Shop Should Win: n/a
I don't care if I'm being too obvious; I also don't really care.
Best Art Direction Will Win: Eve Stewart, The King's Speech Could Win: Guy Hendrix Dyas, Inception Should Win: Guy Hendrix Dyas, Inception Actually Won: Robert Stromberg, Alice in Wonderland
I really wish the gay porn thing came out sooner, but it's not an undeserved win. Inception is so much FUNNER though.
Best Cinematography Will Win: Roger Deakins, True Grit Could Win: Wally Pfister, Inception Should Win: Matthew Libatique, Black Swan
God help us if Deakins doesn't win. But I REALLY don't think he'll lose to TKS? That would be way too indulgent a win. Inception, backed with incredible work by a DP that THEY WON'T STOP NOMINATING, is more likely to steal it.
Best Costume Design Will Win: Colleen Atwood, Alice in Wonderland Could Win: Jenny Beavan, The King's Speech Should Win: Mary Zophres, True Grit
Nathaniel's touting of the 'Atwood and Sandy Powell only win when the other is nominated' formula rings too true, tbh. It made a billion dollars, and she's AT LEAST never won for a Burton film. TKS isn't flashy or colorful or corset-y.
Best Film Editing Will Win: Angus Wall & Kirk Baxter, The Social Network Could Win: Tariq Anwar, The King's Speech Should Win: Andrew Weisblum, Black Swan
I actually trust TSN winning this. But who knows.
Best Original Score Will Win: Alexandre Desplat, The King's Speech Could Win: Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, The Social Network Should Win: Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, The Social Network
This would be one of the easier things for TKS to pick up in the event of a sweep; Desplat's overdue (but for this?). I hope Reznor/Ross can sneak this, though. That would be fucking amazing.
Best Original Song Will Win: "If I Rise", 127 Hours Could Win: "I See the Light", Tangled Should Win: "I See the Light", Tangled Actually Won: "We Belong Together, Toy Story 3
I REALLY HAVE NO CLUE. This is the lamest thing ever.
Best Make-Up Will Win: The Way Back Could Win: Barney's Version Should Win: n/a Actually Won: The Wolfman
Sorry, THIS is the lamest thing ever.
Best Sound Mixing Will Win: True Grit Could Win: Inception Should Win: Inception
I'm going with TG since it won the CAS. IDK.
Best Sound Editing Will Win: Inception Could Win: True Grit Should Win: Inception
Best Visual Effects Will Win: Inception Could Win: Inception Should Win: Inception
Well this is a bit blatant, innit. Plus, it's been forty years since a Best Picture nominee nominated for its special effects has lost to a non-nominee. In case it qasn't clear enough that it's not gonna lose.
This is probably the most uneventful portion of the countdown, but I felt it needed to be done anyway - for all the underdeveloped and mismanaged little tracks out there. Yup, I'm doing b-sides and bonus tracks now! FUN!!!
I love b-sides; I wish more artists actually did them, especially when they're more than worthy of their existence. And not just like, British people. Bonus tracks, as well, can just as easily be lazy and unnecessary (hence why they're 'bonus') as overwhelming brilliant (aka WHAT IS WRONG WITH THEM/THE LABEL/GOD etc). I feel when they need to be heralded, that is exactly what should happen.
This is gonna be odd.
VD's Best B-Sides of 2010
10. Scissor Sisters, "Sex Exciter" ("Any Which Way") It's basically an afterthought, but what a delicious little afterthought. That's co-written and contains backup vocals by Allison Goldfrapp. WIN.
09. Alex Gardner, "Superfree" ("I'm Not Mad") His breathy vocals more or less make this. He's a fucking sexy talented lad, I wish fate would be kinder to him.
08. Delphic, "Sanctuary" ("Doubt") I don't listen to Delphic enough. Somehow I can more easily recall this song more easily than a lot of the album. I'm not exactly sure what that MEANS but anyway.
07. The Saturdays, "Ready to Rise" ("Missing You") Eons better than the A-side. That chorus is FIRE. Good lord the Sats are so inconsistent, it's stunning sometimes, really.
06. Hurts, "Confide in Me" ("Stay") A live cover of Kylie's dark masterpiece, and they definitely do it justice. Completely stunning, and an interesting masculine version of it, too. (See also - I never would've expected them to be so into each other.)
05. Kylie Minogue, "Go Hard or Go Home" ("All the Lovers") Basically simple cheese, but it's just blissfully Kylie.
04. Joe McElderry, "If You Love Me" ("Ambitions") I understand why it's a b-side (it's a bit inconsequential, innit), but I wish the album had a few more full-out electropop rush spots like this.
03. Sophie Ellis-Bextor, "Sophia Loren" ("Bittersweet") Odd that this was gonna be the still-unreleased album's lead single at one point. It's so disarmingly lightweight and CUTE. The synths are so bouncy, the lyrics so thematically clever and easy-to-swallow for a love song. Also, Cathy Dennis! DISCO DISCO ITALIANO.
02. Cheryl Cole, "Just Let Me Go" ("Parachute") Possibly the single best moment of the 3 Words era, entirely because of how 'FUCK YEAH DANCE-POP' it is - a philosophy she fully embraced on her follow-up (which greater results). It's dark, and a bit emotional, albeit in its icy, dancefloor intoxicated form. Quite impressive.
*druuuuuuuuuuuuuuum roll plz*
01. Hurts, "Affair" ("Wonderful Life") True story: I bought the CD single just to own this. Six and a half minutes of swirling, depressingly romantic, purely retro synthpop that makes my heart FLUTTER every time I hear it. So fucking beautiful.
VD's Best Bonus Tracks of 2010 (aka an excuse to talk about the #1)
05. Savage Skulls & Douster feat. Robyn, "Bad Gal" (from the iTunes version of Body Talk Pt. 2) This is, as far as I can tell, the only place this track has officially shown up - which is odd, since there's a video now. It's a fantastically out-there track; Robyn is used expertly. I wish she'd do even more of these 'vocals for DJs/producers spinning gold' things. Cuz, I mean - my god, UH-OH.
03/04. Kylie Minogue, "Mighty Rivers" & "Heartstrings" (from various and unconfirmable international versions of Aphrodite) "Heartstrings" is probably better, but it seemed fair having them tied. They're both Xenomania-produced and they're both unfairly relegated. Sigh, they just haven't had a good run since Girls Aloud disbanded went on hiatus, even when they're putting out BEAUTIFUL work.
02. Alphabeat, "Telephone/Bad Romance" (from the UK Amazon pre-order version of The Beat Is...) The Beat Is... has four (!) bonus tracks overall, and this one is clearly the best, A wonderful mashup of two individually amazing GaGa songs (which assumedly only exists because they were The Monster Ball Tour's opening act for the UK leg). Stine's disturbingly crystal clear pronunciation of everything really makes it.
*anticlimactic rim shot*
01. Ellie Goulding, "Lights" (from the iTunes version of Lights) This is a perfect, perfect song, and I can't believe it WAS a bonus track. It blows everything else out of the water, and still does even after the re-release (Bright Lights) actually made the album better. I was debating whether to even classify it as a bonus track anymore, since it's the next single (to be released...at some point), which an AMAZING VIDEO and a not-terribly done remix (love the added drums) and those gloves. But it wasn't a single in 2010, WAS IT? Well it almost was. Either way, it counts. NOW BASK IN ITS BIFFCO-SANCTIFIED GLORY.
Note: I wouldn't be surprised if it ended up being my #1 of 2011.
So, yeah. Another part down; next up should be MORE IF NOT ALL OF THE SINGLES LIST. Be sure to look out for that sometime before July!