Saturday, February 25, 2012

VD's Final Oscar Predictions, Cuz Why the Hell Not?

Even though I haven't done ONE predictions post this season, for a full smörgåsbord of reasons, I feel like have to do a 'final' one. I've never done it this early (just past the 48 hour mark as opposed to within the last 24), but I'm bored. So here they are. Voilà. And Viola.

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Could Win: Hugo
Should Win: n/a / Harry Potter

Hugo doesn't make 100% sense as a winner, so I guess it's gonna be the first BP nominee in forty-one years to lose this.

Best Sound Mixing and/or Editing
n/a

I honestly don't fucking have a clue. I could see Dragon Tattoo winning both, or Hugo, or War Horse pulling a random Iwo Jima. I just don't know and I feel like I don't have the wherewithal to guess.

Best Makeup
Will Win: The Iron Lady
Could Win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
Should Win: :\

This makes the most sense as a 'career' prize for the Potter franchise, but they love going for actress-y prosthetics as much as genre/franchise films.

Best Original Song
Will Win: "Man or Muppet"
Could Win: "Real in Rio"
Should Win: "Life's a Happy Song"

The Rio BS WILL win, won't it. Oy vey.

Best Original Score
Will Win: Ludovic Bource, The Artist
Could Win: John Williams, War Horse
Should Win: The Artist

If they wanted to screw logic (which they like to do), I suppose they could go for Williams. Surprised there wasn't a 'HE WASN'T WON IN EIGHTEEN FUCKING YEARS' campaign tbqh, but it's a Weinstein tactic and he has the competition, so yeah.

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Anne-Sophie Bion/Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Could Win: Christopher Tellefsen, Moneyball
Should Win: Moneyball

Putting Moneyball in as the alternate has more to do with my personal esteem for it than thinking that it could (miraculously) win. This won't not match up with BP this year.

Best Costume Design
Will Win: Mark Bridges, The Artist
Could Win: Arianne Phillips, W.E.
Should Win: The Artist

IDK why people have been having seizures over this. It seems pretty clear to me? Despite the royalty porn of films too underseen and undervalued, the fucking BP frontrunner will sweep it up. *shrugs*

Best Cinematography
Will Win: Emmanuel Lubezki, The Tree of Life
Could Win: Guillaume Schiffman, The Artist
Should Win: The Tree of Life

If this is 'oooooh pretty and foreign, fuck off Chivo!' again, I...

Best Art Direction
Will Win: Dante Ferretti/Francesca Lo Schiavo, Hugo
Could Win: Hugo
Should Win: Hugo

This is a massive deserved no-brainer.

Best Animated Feature Film
Will Win: Rango
Could Win: Chico & Rita
Should Win: n/a

Seems about it.

Best Documentary Feature Film
Will Win: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Could Win: Pina
Should Win: n/a

Unsurprisingly I'm flying blind hurr.

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: A Separation
Could Win: In Darkness
Should Win: n/a

Unlike with, say, Waltz with Bashir's style, A Prophet's violence, or The White Ribbon's ambiguity, A Separation just seems to be too absolutely universally beloved. The only reason I can see it losing is, well, entirely political and unrelated to the film itself. It could happen. IDK.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Moneyball
Could Win: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Should Win: Moneyball

Voting with my delusional but sustaining anything-but-The Descendants heart here. In all seriousness, TTSS seems like a legit threat.

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: A Separation
Could Win: Midnight in Paris
Should Win: Bridesmaids (AS unseen)

NO GUTS, NO GLORY BTCHZ. The Artist winning this would be too much of a joke (it's just a cleverly modified version of what is essentially an early/mid-'30s MGM assembly line plot), and Midnight in Paris winning, when compared to Allen's multiple opuses that he couldn't win for, is ALSO too much of a joke. So even with what I said two blurbs ago, I'm going with this.

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Octavis Spencer, The Help
Could Win: Spencer
Should Win: Jessica Chastain, The Help

No one wins at the last minute against someone who's been this dominant.

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Could Win: Plummer
Should Win: Plummer

No one wins at the last minute against someone who's been this dominant. [x2]

Best Actress
Will Win: Viola Davis, The Help
Could Win: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Should Win: Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Meryl won the Globe, Viola the SAG, and then Meryl swooped in again for the BAFTA. In a pendulous motion entirely reminiscent of the '08 Actor race, I'm going with V-Girl for the Oscar.

Best Actor
Will Win: Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Could Win: George Clooney, The Descendants
Should Win: Brad Pitt, Moneyball

ANYTHING-BUT-THE DESCENDANTS.

Best Director
Will Win: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Could Win: Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Should Win: Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life

If they couldn't split it last year, they're definitely not gonna this year.

Best Picture
Will Win: The Artist
Could Win: The Artist
Should Win: The Tree of Life

It's a lock and for once, not an undeserved or awkward lock. I like this.

So yeah. Any thoughts? Or anything.

4 comments:

Elvis Is Alive said...

And the Oscar goes tooooooooo???? lol

Alot of this movies are worth getting this golden man but shame one couple wins eventually.

Texas Home theater said...

Wow! Great predictions huh!

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